Monday, May 17, 2021

Galloping food prices heap pressure on Nigerian households as annual inflation hit more than 4-year high in March

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Godwin Okafor
Godwin Okafor is a Financial Journalist, Internet Social Entrepreneur and Founder of Naija247news Media Limited. He has over 16 years experience in financial journalism. His experience cuts across traditional and digital media. He started his journalism career at Business Day, Nigeria and founded Naija247news Media in 2010. Godwin holds a Bachelors degree in Industrial Relations and Personnel Management from the Lagos State University, Ojo, Lagos. He is an alumni of Lagos Business School and a Fellow of the University of Pennsylvania (Wharton Seminar for Business Journalists). Over the years, he has won a number of journalism awards. Godwin is the chairman of Emmerich Resources Limited, the publisher of Naija247news.

Nigeria’s annual inflation climbed to a more than four-year high in March, rising 82 basis points from a month earlier to 18.17%, the statistics office said on Thursday.

Galloping food prices have heaped pressure on households in Africa’s largest economy, which is also facing a shrinking labour market and stagnant growth at a time of mounting insecurity.

Food prices rose 1.16 percentage points from the previous month to 22.95% in March, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said. Inflation hit 18.72% in January 2017.

“This rise in the food index was caused by increases in prices of bread and cereals, potatoes, yam and other tubers, meat, fruits, vegetables, fish and fats,” the NBS said in a report.

Nigeria’s government has said it will cut import duty on tractors and mass transit vehicles to try to reduce transportation costs and tackle high food prices that are contributing to the double-digit inflation.

President Muhammadu Buhari has made investment in rail and road a focus of his administration’s drive to kick-start growth, but falls in public revenue – linked to lower oil prices due to the global coronavirus pandemic – have checked his ambitions.

Given the high-inflation backdrop, few analysts expect the central bank to keep rates on hold, which it has done since last September, as prices have more than doubled the bank’s inflation target band of 6% to 9%.

Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, went into recession – its second since 2016 – in the third quarter of 2020, as the coronavirus pandemic caused oil prices to crash, slashing state revenue, creating large financing needs and weakened the naira.

The economy emerged from recession in the fourth quarter but analysts say the weak naira currency continues to fuel inflation.

The central bank sold dollars to foreign investors for the first time this week since December, quoting the naira at a low of 435.81 for the 150-day forwards.

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